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PHAT CHANCE

PHAT CHANCE is a competition barbecue team with 5 Kansas City Barbeque Society (KCBS) contests on record between 2016 and 2021. Their best overall finish is 10th of 27 at the Esperanza Bonanza (2021). They are ranked #2330 of 6,476 teams in the KCBS power rankings.

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At a glance (the record in numbers)

Power ranking

#2,330
of 6,476 rated · rankings

Rating

1525
peak 1525 · rated over 5 contests

Contests

5
in the data

First seen

Apr 22, 2016
latest Oct 22, 2021 · 5.5 years on the trail

Grand champs

0
0 reserve

Category wins

0
2 podiums

Overall top-10s

2
40% of 5 contests

Avg finish

top 41%
overall standings

Best overall

687.8968 / 720

Perfect 180s

0

Walk rate

80%
contests with a top-10 call

Best single call

176.5716
Pork Ribs · Esperanza Bonanza

Consistency

±8.64
spread of their Master overall scores (lower = steadier)

Strongest meat

Pork
avg 171.63 · weakest Brisket (166.83)

Road miles

745
across 5 mapped stops · furthest 195 mi

Schedule strength

62%
of rated fields were softer than their average draw (1578)

Purse competed for

$22K
listed at 2 contests — purses, not winnings

State championships

0 🏅
won from 3 state-championship entries

Master avg

677.75 / 720
5 Master contests · 0 GCs

Storylines (4 found in their record)

Each card leads with the number behind the story, straight from their results.

High-water mark

687.8968 career-best overall

95.5% of a perfect 720

Their best day on record: 687.8968 at Esperanza Bonanza — 95.5% of a perfect 720.

  • Master
  • Oct 22, 2021

A tough matchup

3–1 behind in the head-to-head

RAZORRACKS ahead in 75% of their meetings

RAZORRACKS has come out ahead in 3 of their 4 shared contests.

The weak link

−4.8 points behind their best meat

Brisket is where the weekend gets away from them — it averages 4.80 points below their pork, and turns into a call 20% of the time against 40%.

  • Brisket avg 166.83
  • Pork avg 171.63
  • 1 call in 5 entries

The comeback

2.1 yrs off the trail, then back

Off the trail for 2.1 years, then back at Esperanza Bonanza (Oct 22, 2021).

  • last seen Sep 20, 2019
  • back Oct 22, 2021

Teams like this (closest power rating)

The teams rated closest to PHAT CHANCE, each with one reason worth a look.

76 rated teams sit within a point of this rating, so a place on this list means the numbers match — no more than that.

Straight Bones BBQ
#2,343 of the rated field
1525 power rating
Contests
7
GCs
0
Top-10s
0%
Peak
1525

Careers of much the same size, 7 contests to 5, so neither rating has had more chance to settle than the other.

  • rated over 5 contests
  • last seen Sep 25, 2026
⚔ Compare careers
B Squad BBQ
#2,325 of the rated field
1526 power rating
Contests
5
GCs
0
Top-10s
20%
Peak
1531

They turned up 10 years after PHAT CHANCE did, first appearing in 2026.

  • rated over 5 contests
  • last seen Aug 28, 2026
⚔ Compare careers
KRESMOKERS
#2,329 of the rated field
1525 power rating
Contests
5
GCs
0
Top-10s
20%
Peak
1526

Their last contest in the data was back in 2015, 6 years before PHAT CHANCE's most recent — their rating stopped moving when they stopped cooking.

  • rated over 5 contests
⚔ Compare careers
Shaky Swine
#2,328 of the rated field
1526 power rating
Contests
6
GCs
0
Top-10s
33%
Peak
1526

Level with PHAT CHANCE on power rating, which is the whole reason they're on the list.

  • rated over 6 contests
  • last seen Jul 25, 2026
⚔ Compare careers
BUBBY'S BBQ
#2,339 of the rated field
1525 power rating
Contests
6
GCs
0
Top-10s
33%
Peak
1530

Their last contest in the data was back in 2016, 5 years before PHAT CHANCE's most recent — their rating stopped moving when they stopped cooking.

  • rated over 6 contests
⚔ Compare careers
Lakeland BBQ Company
#2,324 of the rated field
1526 power rating
Contests
7
GCs
0
Top-10s
29%
Peak
1539

Careers of much the same size, 7 contests to 5, so neither rating has had more chance to settle than the other.

  • rated over 7 contests
  • last seen Apr 25, 2026
⚔ Compare careers

By meat

CategoryEntriesCallsWinsPodiumsBestWorstAverageAvg finish
Chicken 5 1 0 0 172.0228 162.2744 169.58 top 40%
Pork Ribs 5 2 0 0 176.5716 163.4056 169.71 top 41%
Pork 5 2 0 2 176.5600 165.0972 171.63 top 37%
Brisket 5 1 0 0 171.9772 162.2856 166.83 top 50%

“Calls” = top-10 category finishes (getting called to the stage). Scores here are the final weighted totals KCBS publishes; per-criterion appearance/taste/tenderness marks aren’t in the public results feed.

By field size and state

By contest size

FieldContestsGCsAvg finish
Medium (20–39)20top 35%
Large (40+)30top 45%

By state / province (where the contests were held)

WhereContestsGCsAvg finish
AR20top 35%
IL20top 40%
MS10top 56%

More numbers

Busiest season 2019 2 contests
Contests a season 1.3 across 4 seasons in the data
Most contests held in AR 2 of 5 contests · 3 states in all
Contests visited 5 a different one every time
Opponents faced 171 finished ahead 122 times, behind 90
Longest layoff 2.1 yrs Sep 20, 2019 → Oct 22, 2021

Milestones (the firsts, the round numbers and the personal bests)

20214 milestones
  1. Career-best overall score687.8968 Esperanza Bonanza
  2. Career-best single call (Pork Ribs)176.5716 Esperanza Bonanza
  3. Peak power rating (1525) Esperanza Bonanza
  4. Most recent contest Esperanza Bonanza
20191 milestone
  1. First overall top-10 Esperanza Bonanza BBQ Blitz
20163 milestones
  1. First tracked contest Southaven Springfest
  2. First call Southaven Springfest
  3. First overall past 90% of a perfect score667.3488 Southaven Springfest

Power rating over time (1500 = average; recomputed nightly)

📈 Biggest rating jumps

SwingContestDate
+9Murphysboro BBQ CookoffSep 22, 2017
+8.7Esperanza Bonanza BBQ BlitzMay 10, 2019
+4.1Murphysboro BBQ Cook OffSep 20, 2019
+3Esperanza BonanzaOct 22, 2021
+0.8Southaven SpringfestApr 22, 2016

Scores over time (% of a perfect score — tap a meat to add it)

Overall finish over time (top-% of field, lower is better)

Where they finish (overall)

Best vs average (by meat)

How entries end (by meat)

Season by season

SeasonContestsGCsTop-10sCategory winsWalk rateAvg finishBest overall (% of perfect)Avg overall (% of perfect)
20211010 100% top 37% 95.5% 95.5%
20192010 50% top 40% 95.2% 94%
20171000 100% top 33% 94.4% 94.4%
20161000 100% top 56% 92.7% 92.7%

Contest history (click a row for the event, a column to sort)

DateEventOverallChickenRibsPorkBrisket
Oct 22, 2021 Esperanza Bonanza 🏅 Marion, AR 10 / 27 (687.8968) 9 (170.8112) 5 (176.5716) 11 (174.2628) 19 (166.2512)
Sep 20, 2019 Murphysboro BBQ Cook Off 🏅 Murphysboro, IL 25 / 54 (667.9772) 11 (172.0228) 20 (168.5716) 36 (165.0972) 32 (162.2856)
May 10, 2019 Esperanza Bonanza BBQ Blitz 🏅 Marion, AR 10 / 30 (685.6228) 12 (170.8112) 17 (166.2744) 2 (176.5600) 9 (171.9772)
Sep 22, 2017 Murphysboro BBQ Cookoff Murphysboro, IL 18 / 55 (679.9084) 14 (171.9656) 40 (163.4056) 3 (175.4172) 17 (169.1200)
Apr 22, 2016 Southaven Springfest Southaven, MS 23 / 41 (667.3488) 34 (162.2744) 8 (173.7028) 26 (166.8344) 24 (164.5372)

Career map (orange GC · green top-10 · grey the rest — tap a pin)

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