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PHAT CHANCE
PHAT CHANCE is a competition barbecue team with 5 Kansas City Barbeque Society (KCBS) contests on record between 2016 and 2021. Their best overall finish is 10th of 27 at the Esperanza Bonanza (2021). They are ranked #2330 of 6,476 teams in the KCBS power rankings .
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At a glance (the record in numbers)
Rating 1525
peak 1525 · rated over 5 contests
First seen Apr 22, 2016
latest Oct 22, 2021 · 5.5 years on the trail
Overall top-10s 2
40% of 5 contests
Avg finish top 41%
overall standings
Best overall 687.8968 / 720
Walk rate 80%
contests with a top-10 call
Consistency ±8.64
spread of their Master overall scores (lower = steadier)
Strongest meat Pork
avg 171.63 · weakest Brisket (166.83)
Road miles 745
across 5 mapped stops · furthest 195 mi
Schedule strength 62%
of rated fields were softer than their average draw (1578)
Purse competed for $22K
listed at 2 contests — purses, not winnings
State championships 0 🏅
won from 3 state-championship entries
Master avg 677.75 / 720
5 Master contests · 0 GCs
Storylines (4 found in their record)
Each card leads with the number behind the story, straight from their results.
🌡️
High-water mark
687.8968
career-best overall
95.5% of a perfect 720
Their best day on record: 687.8968 at Esperanza Bonanza — 95.5% of a perfect 720.
⚔️
A tough matchup
3–1
behind in the head-to-head
RAZORRACKS ahead in 75% of their meetings
RAZORRACKS has come out ahead in 3 of their 4 shared contests.
🧨
The weak link
−4.8
points behind their best meat
Brisket is where the weekend gets away from them — it averages 4.80 points below their pork, and turns into a call 20% of the time against 40%.
Brisket avg 166.83 Pork avg 171.63 1 call in 5 entries
🔁
The comeback
2.1 yrs
off the trail, then back
Off the trail for 2.1 years , then back at Esperanza Bonanza (Oct 22, 2021).
last seen Sep 20, 2019 back Oct 22, 2021
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Teams like this (closest power rating)
The teams rated closest to PHAT CHANCE, each with one reason worth a look.
76 rated teams sit within a point of this rating, so a place on this list means the numbers match — no more than that.
Straight Bones BBQ
#2,343 of the rated field
1525
power rating
Contests 7
GCs 0
Top-10s 0%
Peak 1525
Careers of much the same size, 7 contests to 5, so neither rating has had more chance to settle than the other.
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B Squad BBQ
#2,325 of the rated field
1526
power rating
Contests 5
GCs 0
Top-10s 20%
Peak 1531
They turned up 10 years after PHAT CHANCE did, first appearing in 2026.
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KRESMOKERS
#2,329 of the rated field
1525
power rating
Contests 5
GCs 0
Top-10s 20%
Peak 1526
Their last contest in the data was back in 2015, 6 years before PHAT CHANCE's most recent — their rating stopped moving when they stopped cooking.
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Shaky Swine
#2,328 of the rated field
1526
power rating
Contests 6
GCs 0
Top-10s 33%
Peak 1526
Level with PHAT CHANCE on power rating, which is the whole reason they're on the list.
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BUBBY'S BBQ
#2,339 of the rated field
1525
power rating
Contests 6
GCs 0
Top-10s 33%
Peak 1530
Their last contest in the data was back in 2016, 5 years before PHAT CHANCE's most recent — their rating stopped moving when they stopped cooking.
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Lakeland BBQ Company
#2,324 of the rated field
1526
power rating
Contests 7
GCs 0
Top-10s 29%
Peak 1539
Careers of much the same size, 7 contests to 5, so neither rating has had more chance to settle than the other.
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By meat
“Calls” = top-10 category finishes (getting called to the stage). Scores here are the final weighted totals KCBS publishes; per-criterion appearance/taste/tenderness marks aren’t in the public results feed.
By field size and state
By contest size
Field Contests GCs Avg finish
Medium (20–39) 2 0 top 35%
Large (40+) 3 0 top 45%
By state / province (where the contests were held)
Where Contests GCs Avg finish
AR 2 0 top 35%
IL 2 0 top 40%
MS 1 0 top 56%
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More numbers
🔥
Busiest season
2019
2 contests
📊
Contests a season
1.3
across 4 seasons in the data
📍
Most contests held in
AR
2 of 5 contests · 3 states in all
🎪
Contests visited
5
a different one every time
⚔️
Opponents faced
171
finished ahead 122 times, behind 90
🔁
Longest layoff
2.1 yrs
Sep 20, 2019 → Oct 22, 2021
Power rating over time (1500 = average; recomputed nightly)
Scores over time (% of a perfect score — tap a meat to add it)
Overall finish over time (top-% of field, lower is better)
Where they finish (overall)
Best vs average (by meat)
How entries end (by meat)
Season by season
Season Contests GCs Top-10s Category wins Walk rate Avg finish Best overall (% of perfect) Avg overall (% of perfect)
2021 1 0 1 0
100%
top 37%
95.5%
95.5%
2019 2 0 1 0
50%
top 40%
95.2%
94%
2017 1 0 0 0
100%
top 33%
94.4%
94.4%
2016 1 0 0 0
100%
top 56%
92.7%
92.7%
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Contest history (click a row for the event, a column to sort)
Date Event Overall Chicken Ribs Pork Brisket
Oct 22, 2021
Esperanza Bonanza 🏅 Marion, AR
10 / 27 (687.8968)
9 (170.8112)
5 (176.5716)
11 (174.2628)
19 (166.2512)
Sep 20, 2019
Murphysboro BBQ Cook Off 🏅 Murphysboro, IL
25 / 54 (667.9772)
11 (172.0228)
20 (168.5716)
36 (165.0972)
32 (162.2856)
May 10, 2019
Esperanza Bonanza BBQ Blitz 🏅 Marion, AR
10 / 30 (685.6228)
12 (170.8112)
17 (166.2744)
2 (176.5600)
9 (171.9772)
Sep 22, 2017
Murphysboro BBQ Cookoff Murphysboro, IL
18 / 55 (679.9084)
14 (171.9656)
40 (163.4056)
3 (175.4172)
17 (169.1200)
Apr 22, 2016
Southaven Springfest Southaven, MS
23 / 41 (667.3488)
34 (162.2744)
8 (173.7028)
26 (166.8344)
24 (164.5372)
Career map (orange GC · green top-10 · grey the rest — tap a pin)
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Hey, I’m Ross
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